Markets anticipate a 98% chance of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve at the upcoming FOMC meeting, lowering rates to the 4.50%-4.75% range. This decision is driven by easing inflation concerns and a weak labor market, with job creation at its lowest since December 2020.Looking ahead, the potential impact of the 2024 elections could shift if Donald Trump wins, as his proposed fiscal policies may reignite inflationary pressures, complicating the Fed's approach and possibly leading to lower interest rates under political pressure.